Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 72.302668 81.372609 90.676600 100.902897 111.796561 123.025238 135.444965
2025-02-16 57.702706 70.599816 84.458856 100.330955 117.882757 136.585025 157.907771
2025-02-23 49.607202 64.655119 81.387503 101.109979 123.473182 147.818282 176.104440
2025-03-02 42.937315 59.365990 78.212389 100.995188 127.384369 156.625179 191.121748
2025-03-09 37.999034 55.489216 76.128125 101.635492 131.720212 165.549480 205.958072
2025-03-16 32.979113 50.984693 72.853799 100.478691 133.634017 171.436538 217.114219
2025-03-23 29.983413 48.712923 72.028342 102.017832 138.522252 180.603919 231.912405
2025-03-30 27.523555 46.891785 71.566429 103.833679 143.610289 189.911706 246.810401
2025-04-06 24.319670 43.781627 69.237111 103.141161 145.513046 195.350563 257.105306
2025-04-13 20.854721 39.991115 65.769996 100.795448 145.212352 198.026234 264.033007
2025-04-20 19.906823 39.716631 66.891604 104.257748 152.052262 209.242736 281.073399
2025-04-27 18.596138 38.785368 67.040721 106.397149 157.200775 218.398663 295.661184
2025-05-04 16.275304 36.145816 64.738134 105.265524 158.222312 222.575543 304.371049
2025-05-11 14.213775 33.713024 62.578655 104.208760 159.255934 226.715114 313.009815
2025-05-18 12.913437 32.388495 61.905649 105.076117 162.701148 233.788101 325.178595
2025-05-25 11.473022 30.677779 60.563860 104.948149 164.797383 239.149413 335.242499
2025-06-01 10.367358 29.435717 59.835848 105.605029 167.874586 245.708485 346.760362
2025-06-08 8.942528 27.444491 57.856863 104.420844 168.459108 249.092568 354.346601
2025-06-15 8.251717 26.766988 57.854064 105.996116 172.683065 257.059133 367.589913
2025-06-22 7.674593 26.250300 58.065785 107.854266 177.274584 265.493485 381.426728
2025-06-29 6.656080 24.701021 56.544088 107.145648 178.369945 269.449456 389.685860
2025-07-06 5.455425 22.564391 53.935117 104.745078 177.093052 270.310922 394.040330
2025-07-13 5.333338 22.845147 55.343380 108.288174 183.939996 281.636242 411.520488